Now that Parliament has the right to vote on the final deal, it is very likely that the Conservative government will support a public referendum on the deal, as they will loose a vote in House of Commons.
The facts are such:
- Government’s technical House of Commons majority: 13
- Rebel MPs needed to block the majority: 7
- Votes lost by the government since June: 11
- Theresa May’s pre-referendum position: Remain
- Remain opinion poll lead since referendum: 2%-8%
- Total Remain MPs in Conservative government: 176 of 317
- Total hardline “Leave Means Leave” MPs in Conservative government: 50 of 317
(Source: Pantheon Macroeconomics)
So unless over 100 Conservative MPs who voted remain, change their minds and the Labour party continues not to reflect the views of its members – and only 4.2 per cent of Labour members said they definitely believed Britain should leave. (Source: Economic and Social Research Council) – then we will not leave the European Union.
So everyone needs to stand up and say ‘stop Article 50’.
But a further referendum may still not support Remain unless the government of the day is actually seen to be doing something to increase opportunity for everyone to lead a full and purposeful life. This means a radical set of policies that actually address well being, increasing income for lower earners, creating more and better jobs, boosting economic growth and harnessing the wealth that we have all helped create to invest it in housing, health, education and infrastructure.
These are not extreme partisan policies. The current political parties propose piecemeal interventions and don’t get to the root of the problem. What is needed is a radical policies that benefit the vast majority of the electorate, those in the centre, not the extremes.
We have no time to lose.
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